Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.027292 0.029889 0.032462 0.035199 0.038021 0.040841 0.043868
2025-01-19 0.021003 0.025090 0.029267 0.033826 0.038638 0.043545 0.048907
2025-01-26 0.018169 0.023307 0.028686 0.034669 0.041086 0.047713 0.055036
2025-02-02 0.015516 0.021368 0.027635 0.034728 0.042436 0.050484 0.059453
2025-02-09 0.012761 0.019046 0.025949 0.033899 0.042652 0.051881 0.062248
2025-02-16 0.011111 0.017820 0.025347 0.034139 0.043917 0.054303 0.066038
2025-02-23 0.009497 0.016495 0.024529 0.034045 0.044733 0.056165 0.069152
2025-03-02 0.007973 0.015149 0.023595 0.033743 0.045251 0.057643 0.071790
2025-03-09 0.006719 0.014033 0.022856 0.033603 0.045897 0.059212 0.074480
2025-03-16 0.005315 0.012593 0.021652 0.032863 0.045815 0.059937 0.076206
2025-03-23 0.004465 0.011812 0.021198 0.032958 0.046644 0.061636 0.078968
2025-03-30 0.003530 0.010811 0.020416 0.032626 0.046952 0.062729 0.081034
2025-04-06 0.002461 0.009558 0.019379 0.032106 0.047199 0.063931 0.083433
2025-04-13 0.001284 0.007861 0.017695 0.030789 0.046541 0.064153 0.084800
2025-04-20 0.000919 0.007506 0.017768 0.031604 0.048353 0.067148 0.089236
2025-04-27 0.000467 0.006769 0.017260 0.031661 0.049244 0.069074 0.092455
2025-05-04 0.000062 0.005647 0.016114 0.030862 0.049083 0.069770 0.094267
2025-05-11 NaN 0.005129 0.015800 0.031093 0.050126 0.071820 0.097577
2025-05-18 NaN 0.004499 0.015262 0.031002 0.050758 0.073380 0.100314
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003831 0.014596 0.030711 0.051126 0.074614 0.102664
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003285 0.014070 0.030577 0.051661 0.076024 0.105197
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002560 0.013142 0.029863 0.051463 0.076564 0.106723
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002200 0.012821 0.029954 0.052239 0.078223 0.109508